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CIA-UAP-015, Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 (Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects)

This is the USAF Project Blue Book with a CIA cover sheet stating the document is "Official Record Copy." With the exception of the handwritten note on the first page, the content of this document has been available on CIA's public website.

War.gov PURSUECIARELEASE-03-FILE-024-CIA-UAP-015-PROJECT-BLUE-BOOK-SPECIAL-REPORT-NO-14-ANALYSIS-OF-REPORTS-OF-UNIDENTIFIED-AERIAL-OB2026-06-12
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Pages
312
Claims
10
Backlinks
0
Signals
0

Document Intel

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Source
War.gov PURSUE
Type
Report
Classification
Unclassified
Agency
CIA
Reference #
RELEASE-03-FILE-024-CIA-UAP-015-PROJECT-BLUE-BOOK-SPECIAL-REPORT-NO-14-ANALYSIS-OF-REPORTS-OF-UNIDENTIFIED-AERIAL-OB
Published
2026-06-12
Content Type
application/pdf
Pages
312

Structured Analysis

Claims and source material extracted from the document text. Timeline context is surfaced in document intel.

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Claims
Reported by source6Source interpretation4
Source reportedObserved

Reports of unidentified aerial objects have been received by the U.S. Air Force since mid-1947.

Reports of unidentified aerial objects (popularly termed "flying saucers" or "flying discs") have been received by the U.S. Air Force since mid-1947.

Source reportedObserved

There was no evidence that unexplained reports of unidentified objects constituted a threat to the security of the U.S.

Although there was no evidence that the unexplained reports of unidentified objects constituted a threat to the security of the U.S.

Source reportedObserved

The Air Force determined that all reports of unidentified aerial objects should be investigated and evaluated.

The Air Force determined that all reports of unidentified aerial objects should be investigated and evaluated.

InterpretationAsserted

The probability that any of the UNKNOWNS represented observations of technological developments not known to this country was very small.

This led to the conclusion that this probability was very small.

Source reportedObserved

The study started in 1953 and the information cut-off date was established as of the end of 1952.

The special study which resulted in this report (Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects, 5 May 1955) started in 1953. To provide the study group with a complete set of files, the information cut-off date was established as of the end of 1952.

InterpretationAsserted

The 1953 and 1954 cases show a trend of increasing percentages in the finally identified categories.

The 1953 and 1954 cases show a general and expected trend of increasing percentages in the finally identified categories.

Source reportedObserved

The revised program established by AF Reg. 200-2 improved reporting and investigating procedures.

On the basis of this, a revised program was established by AF Reg. 200-2 Subject: "Unidentified Flying Objects Reporting" (Short Title: UFOB) dated 12 August 1954.

Source reportedObserved

The 4602d Air Intelligence Service Squadron would carry out all field investigations.

This new program...provided primarily that the 4602d Air Intelligence Service Squadron (Air Defense Command) would carry out all field investigations.

InterpretationAsserted

The number of unexplained cases has decreased rapidly towards the vanishing point.

As these impressions and interpretations have been replaced by the use of improved methods of investigation and reporting, and by scientific analysis, the number of unexplained cases has decreased rapidly towards the vanishing point.

InterpretationAsserted

It is highly improbable that reports of unidentified aerial objects represent observations of technological developments outside of the range of present-day scientific knowledge.

Therefore, on the basis of this evaluation of the information, it is considered to be highly improbable that reports of unidentified aerial objects examined in this study represent observations of technological developments outside of the range of present-day scientific knowledge.

Timeline

Chronology extracted from the document text.

5 May 1955

Publication of Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14

1 January 1955 to 5 May 1955

Period accounting for 131 unidentified aerial object reports received

12 August 1954

Establishment of revised program by AF Reg. 200-2

1953

Start of the special study resulting in the report

End of 1952

Information cut-off date for the study

1947

Start of U.S. Air Force receiving reports of unidentified aerial objects

Source material
Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14
documentPrimary
CIA-UAP-015
Air Force Form 112
document
Air Force Letter 200-5
document
U.S. Air Force Technical Information Sheet
document
Exhibits BI, B2, and B3 in Appendix B
document
AF Reg. 200-2
document

Referenced In Coverage

Investigative posts, source items, and other coverage that currently cite this document.

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