I am evaluating one specific unresolved UAP case using a falsification-first approach. The goal is NOT to prove that the object is non-human. The immediate goal is to test whether ordinary/terrestrial explanations—especially a free-floating balloon—survive quantitative checks against the available public evidence. CASE ---- Reference: DOW-UAP-PR134 Location: Baghdad, Iraq (geolocation reconstructed from visible ground features) Date: 1 January 2025 Video: U.S. military electro-optical/infrare...