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DOW-UAP-D093, Analysis of Flying Object Incidents in the United States, 1948

This file contains a U.S. Air Force (USAF) Air Intelligence Division study, “Analysis of Flying Object Incidents in the United States,” Study No. 203, dated 12/10/1948. The analysis includes an assessment of various reported unidentified flying object (UFO) incidents and theories to account for their nature and origin. Overall, the study assesses that “it appears that some object has been seen; however, the identification of that object cannot be readily accomplished.” The study offers that two “reasonable” origins might account for the phenomena: technologies of a domestic or foreign origin. It also suggests that, if foreign, it is prudent for the United States to assume that UFO observations are attributable to scientific, military, or intelligence activities of the Soviet Union, and, in that case, to take seriously the threat such objects may pose. The file also contains contemporary UFO reports and examples of experimental “flying wing” type aircraft planforms that might account for certain commonly reported UFO characteristics. AARO Comment: This file appears to be an earlier draft version of the file contained in DOW-UAP-D094, whose content is substantively similar.

War.gov PURSUEDepartment of WarRELEASE-04-FILE-018-DOW-UAP-D093-ANALYSIS-OF-FLYING-OBJECT-INCIDENTS-IN-THE-UNITED-STATES-19482026-07-10
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Pages
67
Claims
14
Backlinks
0
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0

Document Intel

Source status, provenance, and extraction context.

Source
War.gov PURSUE
Type
Report
Classification
Unclassified
Agency
Department of War
Reference #
RELEASE-04-FILE-018-DOW-UAP-D093-ANALYSIS-OF-FLYING-OBJECT-INCIDENTS-IN-THE-UNITED-STATES-1948
Published
2026-07-10
Content Type
application/pdf
Pages
67

Structured Analysis

Claims and source material extracted from the document text. Timeline context is surfaced in document intel.

AI deep ingest from War.gov PURSUE.
Claims
Reported by source14
Source reportedAsserted

The draft said the recurring reported characteristics and observer pool supported the contention that some type of flying object had been seen, without establishing a single origin.

support the contention that some type of flying object has been observed

Source reportedAsserted

It listed the Chance Vought XF5U-1, Northrop B-35, and YB-49 as examples of domestic flying-wing aircraft that might resemble some reports.

particularly those described as disks and rough cigar shapes

Source reportedAsserted

The analysis considered whether one object type viewed under different conditions could account for disk, ball, and cigar descriptions.

possible that a single type of object may be involved in all sightings

Source reportedAsserted

It described concentrations along the Eastern Seaboard and Western Coast but did not treat geographic clustering as establishing an origin.

large concentration of sightings along the Eastern Seaboard

Source reportedAsserted

The draft considered whether publicity surrounding Scandinavian ghost rockets and later U.S. reports had psychological or propaganda effects.

strange objects first appeared over the Scandinavian countries in 1946

Source reportedAsserted

The report explicitly said it could not determine whether the cases were domestic devices, natural phenomena, or foreign unconventional aircraft.

It is not known at this time whether these phenomena are misidentifications

Source reportedUnverified

Richmond Weather Bureau observers reported a metallic disk during pilot-balloon observations, including one reported track at about 25,000 feet; the figures remain historical estimates.

Weather Bureau Station at Richmond, Virginia reported seeing a strange metallic disk

Source reportedUnverified

A White Sands report described a disk or sphere moving horizontally at high altitude, while five Portland police officers separately reported disk-like objects.

five Portland, Oregon police officers reported

Source reportedUnverified

A Pan American Airways mechanic near Harmon Field reported a circular object and a cloud disturbance, and the draft noted photographs by another employee.

Woodruff, a Pan-American Airways mechanic reported a circular object flying at high velocity

Source reportedUnverified

The case compilation included Kenneth Arnold’s 1947 formation report and compared sketches or photographs, but the document did not independently validate the objects depicted.

Kenneth Arnold, while flying near Tacoma, Washington, reported a formation of flying objects

Source reportedUnverified

The report described a high-altitude object northeast of Moscow and separately summarized an attempted fighter interception in which a light reportedly outmaneuvered the pursuing aircraft.

The pilot pursued the light which appeared to then take evasive tactics

Source reportedUnverified

A report attributed to pilot Combs described an oblong light without wings or exhaust making a tight turn toward the East Coast at an estimated 500–600 mph.

an oblong ball with one light, no wings and no exhaust flame

Source reportedUnverified

The radar appendix listed Hokkaido and Fukuoka targets with high estimated speeds; the draft provides no independent calibration or validation of those figures.

an MEW radar at Fukuoka, Japan, picked up a target at 89 miles

Source reportedUnverified

A Godman Air Force Base report described a bright silver spherical object at an estimated 30,000–40,000 feet, again based on contemporary observation rather than a confirmed measurement.

visible from the ground at Godman Air Force Base, Kentucky

Timeline

Chronology extracted from the document text.

December 10, 1948

Study No. 203 dated

The Air Intelligence Division analysis was issued in draft/report form.

January 7, 1948

Godman/Mantell case context

The study included the Kentucky case in its selected incident material.

September 16, 1947

Fukuoka radar report

The appendix listed a target tracked over a long range with a high estimated speed.

July 10, 1947

Harmon Field report

A Pan American Airways mechanic reported a circular object and cloud disturbance.

June 24, 1947

Kenneth Arnold report

The draft included Arnold’s formation report among selected cases.

1946

Scandinavian ghost-rocket reports began

The study used the reports as context for later European and U.S. sightings.

Source material
Official source document: DOW-UAP-D093, Analysis of Flying Object Incidents in the United States, 1948
public_recordPrimary
RELEASE-04-FILE-018-DOW-UAP-D093-ANALYSIS-OF-FLYING-OBJECT-INCIDENTS-IN-THE-UNITED-STATES-1948Source link

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