DOW-UAP-D084: US Army-Flying-Saucer-Study_1949
This released document records that plans & Operations requested an evaluation to determine whether the reports arose from natural phenomena or could be traced to a foreign power. The file preserves the source account or analysis but does not independently establish interpretations beyond the cited record. This document is useful as an officially released artifact because it preserves the file's provenance and lets its claims be compared with related Release 03 records.
- File
- Document · Release 03
- Extent
- 25 pages
- Agency
- Department of War
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Probed Assessment
This released document records that plans & Operations requested an evaluation to determine whether the reports arose from natural phenomena or could be traced to a foreign power. The file preserves the source account or analysis but does not independently establish interpretations beyond the cited record.
Key takeaways
- The source states that plans & Operations requested an evaluation to determine whether the reports arose from natural phenomena or could be traced to a foreign power.
- The source states that the study described Air Materiel Command at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base as continuing a special U.S. Air Force project to investigate reported unidentified flying objects.
- The source states that of roughly 210 incidents reviewed, the study said about twenty percent had been explained, mostly as weather balloons, aircraft, cosmic-ray research equipment, bolides, meteors, or Venus.
Why it matters
This document is useful as an officially released artifact because it preserves the file's provenance and lets its claims be compared with related Release 03 records.
Corroboration
The release metadata and stored source material corroborate the file's provenance. Reported sightings, interpretations, and allegations remain attributed to the source unless independently supported by the cited evidence.
Open questions
- • What additional contemporaneous records or independent evidence could test the source account?
Probed separates this editorial assessment from the source claims below. It summarizes what the released artifact supports; it is not independent verification.
Official Description from War.gov
This file contains an Evaluation Study of the Phenomenon (Flying Saucers) prepared at the request of the Plans & Operations Divisions of the General Staff, U.S. Army (P&O, GSUSA) to determine if the origin could be traced to natural phenomena or the activities of a foreign power.
Preserved verbatim as source metadata. This wording is separate from Probed’s file-specific description and assessment.
File Context
Related entities
Tracker findings
The study indicated that of all cases investigated there was no foreign nation
The record states: The study indicated that of all cases investigated there was no foreign nation implication in these flying saucers.
Release provenance
- Release
- Release 03
- Official ID
- release-03-file-002-dow-uap-d084-us-army-flying-saucer-study-1949
- Cleared
- Jun 12, 2026
Referenced Timeline
P&O request to ID
P&O requested ID to evaluate flying saucer phenomena.
LinkedFlying SaucerID forwarded evaluation
ID forwarded the evaluation of flying saucer phenomena.
LinkedFlying SaucerPreparation of Evaluation Study
Evaluation Study of the Phenomenon (Flying Saucers) was prepared at the request of P&O.
Walter Winchell's broadcast
Walter Winchell's broadcast regarding flying saucers.
LinkedWalter WinchellMemorandum for Record
Memorandum indicating no foreign nation implication in flying saucers.
Memorandum for Record
Memorandum regarding coordination and verification of Winchell's broadcast.
Source Claims
Claims are attributed to the released source and remain distinct from Probed’s assessment and tracker findings.
Plans & Operations requested an evaluation to determine whether the reports arose from natural phenomena or could be traced to a foreign power.
evaluation study was prepared at request of P&O to determine … if the various reports on this subject stemmed from natural phenomena … or if the origin could be traced definitely to the activities of a foreign power
The study described Air Materiel Command at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base as continuing a special U.S. Air Force project to investigate reported unidentified flying objects.
The investigation of all incidents reported to involve unidentified flying objects during the period June 1945 to date has been conducted by a special project group of Headquarters, Air Materiel Command, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio.
Of roughly 210 incidents reviewed, the study said about twenty percent had been explained, mostly as weather balloons, aircraft, cosmic-ray research equipment, bolides, meteors, or Venus.
Of some 210 incidents, approximately twenty (20) per cent have been explained. The majority of these involved misidentification of synoptic weather balloons.
The study stated that it had found no tangible evidence tying any incident to a foreign nation and characterized a foreign-device explanation as remote.
To date there has been no tangible evidence which would support a theory that any incidents are attributable to activity of a foreign nation. The possibility of foreign devices would appear most remote.
A 5 April 1949 record said the submitted study indicated no foreign-nation implication among the flying-saucer cases investigated.
This study intimated that of all cases investigated there was no foreign nation implication in these flying saucers.
An April routing form directed circulation and filing in Plans & Operations and noted possible interest to Generals Maddocks, Nichols, Schuyler, and Timberman.
Circulate as indicated, then file in P&O. This may be of interest to Generals Maddocks, Nichols, Schuyler and Timberman.
A later memorandum recorded that Plans & Operations asked the Intelligence Division to evaluate the phenomenon on 24 February 1949 and received the evaluation on 7 March 1949.
P&O requested ID on 24 Feb 49 to evaluate these phenomena. On 7 Mar 49 ID forwarded the attached evaluation.
Walter Winchell’s 3 April 1949 broadcast prompted a request that the Intelligence Division verify the broadcast’s accuracy.
a result of Walter Winchell's 3 Apr 49 broadeast (summary = = [7aa@ | = Werification of the accuracy of the broadcast.
Source Material & Evidence
Evaluation Study of the Phenomenon (Flying Saucers)
RELEASE-03-FILE-002-DOW-UAP-D084-US-ARMY-FLYING-SAUCER-STUDY-1949
Walter Winchell's 3 Apr 49 broadcast
summary in attached Daily Bulletin
Research Map
Lines appear only when two entities share a row-level source claim or dated timeline event. Unconnected nodes remain visible without implying a relationship.